AI was meant to replace software developers. It's creating more instead.

5 hours ago 4

ceo of atlassian smiling

Mike Cannon-Brookes, cofounder and chief executive of Atlassian. Bloomberg/Getty Images

One of the biggest fears about AI was that it would kill tech jobs and shrink the software industry.

The logic seemed straightforward. If AI made developers much more productive, tech companies would need fewer of them. That would mean fewer software subscriptions, known as "seats," because each worker typically has their own account.

Investors also worried that AI coding tools would enable companies to build more of their own software rather than buy it from established vendors.

The software giant Atlassian sat right in the way of these buzzsaws because it sells tools that help teams organize work, collaborate, and build software. That drove the stock down more than 50% in the first few months of 2026.

Now, the picture looks very different.

Atlassian shares jumped 35% on Friday after the company reported surging revenue, helped by growth in seats for its main Jira and Confluence products.

That suggests that AI is creating more roles for software developers, rather than killing tech jobs.

"There's going to be more developers in the world in five years' time than there are today," Atlassian CEO and cofounder Mike Cannon-Brookes said after the results. "Developer hiring will continue to grow."

"The cost of building technology is going down. The amount of technology we're going to build is going to go up," he added. "Those are the signals we see in our customers. The ability to grow that is huge."

This reminds me of something Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said a few years ago. He predicted AI would make writing software much easier, opening this skill to many more people.

"The programming language is human; everybody in the world is now a programmer," he said.

Atlassian is seeing this happen across its corporate customers. The company said seat growth wasn't just coming from software developers. Roughly two-thirds of Jira and Confluence users are now in roles such as human resources, finance, and legal.

"The number of people building technology that we don't necessarily call developers is also growing," Cannon-Brookes said.

In other words, AI may not be replacing developers. Instead, it appears to be expanding who gets to build software.

If that's right, the long-feared collapse in software jobs and subscriptions may never arrive. Instead, AI could create a much larger pool of people building technology, and an even bigger market for companies like Atlassian.

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Alistair Barr is the author of Business Insider's Tech Memo newsletter. Sign up here. Before that, he was BI's Global Tech Editor and the Big Tech team leader at Bloomberg, following a reporting career at The Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Reuters, and MarketWatch. Alistair won a Gerald Loeb Award in 2007 for coverage of short selling and was a finalist in 2013 for scoops on the Facebook IPO. More recently, he won a 2024 San Francisco Press Club award for commentary. Got a tip? Reach out using the secure messaging app Signal (+1 415-341-4927) or via email on [email protected].ExpertiseAlistair oversees all things Big Tech, along with startups and venture capital. He writes analysis and columns about topics including generative AI, large language models, cloud computing, semiconductors, online search, e-commerce, EVs, robotics, and autonomous vehicles.Popular StoriesArtificial Intelligence:It's getting harder to make big leaps at the frontier of AIOpenAI's AI-adjusted earnings numbers have echoes of Groupon and WeWorkDeath by LLM: Stack Overflow's decline, and its plan to survive, shows the future of free online data in an AI worldCloud computing:Amazon dominated the first cloud era. The AI boom has kicked off Cloud 2.0, and the company doesn't have a head start this time.In cloud, there's AI (which is hot) and everything else (which is not)Chips:Why Intel is still so important: Real countries have fabsApple's made-in-the-USA chips signal a turnaround for the US's big semiconductor betEVs and Tesla:Tesla's AI supercomputer has a Silicon Valley town rushing to meet surging electricity demandTesla's Cybertruck is outselling almost every other EV in the USOnline Search:Google is losing its status as a verbA simple way to fix search: Bright pink ads

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